The GFS model shows a healthy swath of accumulating snow Wednesday evening.

Over the weekend I began talking about a possible storm for the busiest travel day of the year. It is looking more likely that we will see ‘something’ on that day.  In fact, the National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch (click to see the text from the NWS).

Here are my thoughts::  At this point there is still some model spread as to how close a fairly strong area of low pressure will pass by.  Some model data wants to hug the coast with the storm, which isn’t the best track for all snow.

The Breakdown:  It looks like rain or a rain/snow mix will develop on Wednesday morning.   Snow will be wet to start (especially a mix with rain and sleet along the shore) so accumulating snow may take some time to get going ( (at least on roadways) because temperatures will be on the milder side at the very start.  Once the sun sets and the storm intensifies, temps will drop and the snow will begin to accumulate.   There is a chance we could see 6+ inches of snow especially in northern and n/eastern CT.  The northwest hills will also pile up probably the most snow because accumulating snow will begin sooner there.

Even if you’re not traveling on Wednesday, it tends to be one of the busiest errand days of the year getting ready for the holiday.  Also, about 14,000 of you are registered for the Manchester Road Race on Thanksgiving Morning.   The GOOD news for all of you, the storm will be pulling away by Thursday morning and snow wlll taper during the early morning hours.

How does the storm impact the Macy’s Parade ?  No matter what happens on Wednesday night, the storm will leave us with a mix of clouds and sun on Thanksgiving morning but it will be breezy, the wind could be a problem for the big balloons.

The bottom line:  If you have any travel planned Wednesday morning through Thursday morning, stay tuned to the #FirstAlertCT forecast team.  On this blog, on the web you can find both the text and video First Alert Forecast.      You can also like my my facebook page and twitter page(see the boxes to the right).  CLICK FOLLOW ON THE RIGHT TO FOLLOW THIS BLOG.. It will email you whenever new blog updates are posted.