Category Archives: Summer

A cool (ish) looking start to June ?

Leave a reply
cooleasthotwest

The above image shows a set up around June 9th that keeps cool pushes of air coming from the northwest and record heat stuck out west.

The warmer weather is here and that means outdoor events, charity run/walks and of course beach and pool days are being planned in earnest.  What is the start of summer looking like?  Meteo

We have had some very warm days sneaking in before the official start of summer ((The official start of the solstice is June 20 at 6:34 A.M. EDT) but get ready for a pattern change for the rest of the first half of June.  Meteorological summer by the way started June 1.

The set up is going to keep the heat bottled up out west.  We’ll likely see an upper level low keep cooler air funneling in from Canada across the northeast.  This means we’ll likely even see some unsettled weather (showers) from time to time.

The Tropics and Short Term Forecast:

This time of year we always have to keep an eye on the tropics to “disrupt” or influence weather patterns.  At this point the National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on the Gulf of Mexico and Florida.  There could be an area of low pressure developing some time next week.  What does that mean for us?  At this point, nothing.  However, in the image below (Sunday)  that is a cold front approaching us and it is starting to tap into some of that Gulf of Mexico moisture.  That spells a wet Sunday for us with some embedded heavier downpours into Sunday night.  The next tropical system (if it forms) will be named “Colin”.

gulfisopen

This is Sunday. Notice the rain from New England down to the Gulf. Some of that rain could be heavy at times.

 

As new data and trends come in for the summer months I will post updates here.  Until then, keep the umbrella close by and close eye on a rather quickly changing weather pattern over the next 1-2 weeks.

Of course, you can follow local updates and weather facts on Twitter and Facebook 

The climatologically hottest part of summer is over.. but more heat is on the way.

Leave a reply

It has been a while since I have blog posted.  Mainly, because the weather has been quiet.

With only 1 heat wave and minimal severe weather, this summer has been fairly average in terms of sun, warmth and just “ok” in the rain department.  We have been overall a bit dry from time to time.

In July, we averaged just over 1″ of rain below average and we were .03 degrees above average.  We also had one heat wave during the month (only heat wave of the summer).

Our average high temperature peaks at 85 in mid to late July and then begins to fall in early August.  Our average high temperature by the end of August will be around 79 degrees.

Looking into next week:  A beautiful stretch of summer weather is on the way, but it will be getting warm.  Temps by early next week will be near 90 Sunday thru Tuesday. We could be nearing our second heat wave of the season but it will be a close call.  A cold front by late Tuesday into Wednesday will likely begin to break to warmest part of the week.

850 temps are a big help in determining high temperatures at the surface. 850 temps are approximately 5000K feet above the ground. 5000K feet high but still a big help in determining surface temps. When forecasting we sometimes start there and then factor in things like wind direction, cloud cover among other things.

850 temps are a big help in determining high temperatures at the surface. 850 temps are approximately 5000K feet above the ground. 5000K feet high but still a big help in determining surface temps. When forecasting we sometimes start there and then factor in things like wind direction, cloud cover among other things.  The above image is for Monday afternoon.  This particular map shows temp deviations above or below average. In our case, the red indicates above average.

I realize many of you have vacation plans to squeeze out the final days of summer  before school begins.  Of course we have to keep in mind summer weather continues well into September.

With just a couple of thunderstorm chances into next week, no big washouts are in the forecast.  our lawns and gardens could use a soaking, but it looks like we’ll stay relatively dry..  Since June, rainfall has been actually OK around here.  The problem with the rain this summer has been that rain has been widely spread out.  Since January, we’re still about 3.5″ of rain below normal.

Enjoy the rest of the summer!

~Darren

DAYLIGHT TRIVIA:  Our sun is now setting before 8PM again and will continue to set earlier each day.  The next time we’re back to 8PM + sunsets is not until May 12, 2016.